Jumping to Conclusions. A Logico-Probabilistic Foundation for Defeasible Rule-Based Arguments

Bart Verheij

A theory of defeasible arguments is proposed that combines logical and probabilistic properties. This logico-probabilistic argumentation theory builds on two foundational theories of nonmonotonic reasoning and uncertainty: the study of nonmonotonic consequence relations (and the associated minimal model semantics) and probability theory. A key result is that, in the theory, qualitatively defined argument validity can be derived from a quantitative interpretation. The theory provides a synthetic perspective of arguments `jumping to conclusions', rules with exceptions, and probabilities.

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Reference:
Verheij, B. (2012). Jumping to Conclusions. A Logico-Probabilistic Foundation for Defeasible Rule-Based Arguments. 13th European Conference on Logics in Artificial Intelligence, JELIA 2012. Toulouse, France, September 2012. Proceedings (LNAI 7519) (eds. L. Fariñas del Cerro, A. Herzig, J. Mengin), 411-423. Springer, Berlin.


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